Oscar Picks 2021

This is my 15th year of predicting the Oscar winners.  Last year I saw 1 of the nominated films and correctly predicted 5 of 7 categories (I don't predict them all).  This year I saw 3 films (for the full list of nominees, go to the Academy Awards website):

Emma.

Over the Moon

A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon

Emma. is nominated for Best Costume Design, Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Best Supporting Actor

Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7

Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah

Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami

Paul Raci, Sound of Metal

Lakeith Stanfield, Judas and the Black Messiah

My Pick: Daniel Kaluuya

I feel like he has the momentum at this point.

Best Supporting Actress

Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy

Olivia Colman, The Father

Amanda Seyfried, Mank

Youn Yuh-jung, Minari

My Pick: Youn Yuh-jung

Again, she has the momentum and I have only heard good things about her performance.

Best Actor

Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal

Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Anthony Hopkins, The Father

Gary Oldman, Mank

Steven Yeun, Minari

My Pick: Chadwick Boseman

This is the Academy's last chance to award Chadwick Boseman, so I think they will take it.

Best Actress

Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom

Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holiday

Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman

Frances McDormand, Nomadland

Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman

My Pick: Frances McDormand

Just a guess.  I assume it will be Frances McDormand or Viola Davis.

Best Director

Lee Isaac Chung, Minari

Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman

David Fincher, Mank

Thomas Vinterberg, Another Round

Chloe Zhao, Nomadland

My Pick: Emerald Fennell

I haven't seen any of these films, but let's spread the wealth and guess the direction for Promising Young Woman, or David Fincher for Mank.

Best Animated Film

Onward

Over the Moon

A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon

Soul

Wolfwalkers

My Pick: Soul

Disney and Pixar normally dominate this category, so I think Soul will probably win.  However, I am most excited about Wolfwalkers - I have loved the Irish Folklore animated films of Tomm Moore.  I would be pleasantly surprised if it won, but I fully expect the award to go to Soul or Onward.

Best Picture

The Father

Judas and the Black Messiah

Mank

Minari

Nomadland

Promising Young Woman

Sound of Metal

Trial of the Chicago 7

My Pick: ______

Honestly, I have no clue.  I'm going to say Trial of the Chicago 7 (won the SAG Award) or Mank (a movie about the movie industry). 

EDIT: 4 of 7, not great... but for only seeing 3 films, I accept it.