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Sunday, February 09, 2020

Oscar Picks 2020

This is my 14th year of predicting the Oscar winners.  Last year I saw 5 of the nominated film and correctly predicted 5 of 7 categories (I don't predict them all).  This year I saw 1 film (for the full list of nominees, go to the Academy Awards website), so I'm going to make some wild guesses:

Avengers: Endgame

Avengers: Endgame is nominated for Best Visual Effects

Best Supporting Actor
Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
Al Pacino, The Irishman
Joe Pesci, The Irishman
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Tom Hanks
Brad Pitt has the buzz going into tonight's show, so he will probably win. However, I am more excited about Hanks take on Fred Rogers.


Best Supporting Actress
Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell
Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit
Florence Pugh, Little Women
Margot Robbie, Bombshell

Laura Dern
Darn has the buzz and has been collecting awards for her role, so I expect her to win.


Best Actor
Antonio, Banderas, Pain and Glory
Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Adam Driver, Marriage Story
Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes

Joaquin Phoenix
I have interest in seeing The Joker, but it seems like he is the frontrunner for this award.


Best Actress
Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
Saoirse Ronan, Little Women
Charlize Theron, Bombshell
Renee Zellweger, Judy

Renee Zellweger
I honestly don't know what to expect here, but the Academy loves to give awards to people playing real people, so I'm going to call it for her.


Best Director
Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
Todd Phillips, Joker
Sam Mendes, 1917
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Bong Joon-ho, Parasite

Quentin Tarantino or Bong Joon-ho
Tarantino always makes fascinating films, and this one is a hit. Joon-ho also has some buzz (his film is nominated for Best Picture and Best International Feature Film), so he could take home the statue. If anyone else can take the prize, it could be Sam Mendes.


Best Animated Film
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
I Lost My Body
Klaus
Missing Link
Toy Story 4

Toy Story 4
I'm surprised that Frozen 2 was not nominated for this award, so I'm going to call it for the Pixar nomination.


Best Picture
Ford v Ferrari
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women
Marriage Story
1917
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite

1917
For the camera work alone, I expect this to win.


I hope Knives Out wins for Best Original Screenplay. I expect "Into the Unknown" to win Best Original Song.


Edit: 5 out of 7, which has been my score for the last few years.  I am pleasantly surprised that Parasite took home the prize for both Best International Feature Film and Best Picture.  I don't know why Downton Abbey was not nominated for Best Costume Design, because the costumes are phenomenal (and period accurate, just like they were on the TV show).
I don't know that this changes my desire to see any of the films... but I do plan to watch Frozen 2, Knives OutOnce Upon a Time in Hollywood, and Toy Story 4.

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