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    Oscar Picks 2019


    This is my 13th year of predicting the Oscar winners.  Last year I saw 7 of the nominated film and correctly predicted 5 of 7 categories (I don't predict them all).  This year I saw 5 films (for the full list of nominees, go to the Academy Awards website):

    Avengers: Infinity War
    Black Panther
    Christopher Robin
    Isle of Dogs
    Ready Player One

    Avengers: Infinity War is nominated for Best Visual Effects
    Black Panther is nominated for 7 Academy Awards: Best Picture, Best Original Score, Best Original Song, Best Costume Design, Best Production Design, Best Sound Editing, Best Sound Mixing
    Christopher Robin is nominated for Best Visual Effects
    Isle of Dogs is nominated for Best Animated Film and Best Original Score
    Ready Player One is nominated for Best Visual Effects

    My pick for Best Animated Short Film is Bao (pictured above) from Pixar Animate Studios.

    Best Supporting Actor
    *Mahershala Ali, Green Book
    Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman
    Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born
    Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
    Sam Rockwell, Vice

    Mahershala Ali
    Ali will probably win.  If he doesn't, I expect Richard E. Grant to take the award.


    Best Supporting Actress
    Amy Adams, Vice
    Marina de Tavira, Roma
    *Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
    Emma Stone, The Favourite
    Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

    Regina King
    I like Amy Adams, but I'm not sure her performance / film has enough good will to make a difference.  King will win.


    Best Actor
    Christian Bale, Vice
    Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
    Willem Dafoe, At Eternity's Gate
    *Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
    Viggo Mortensen, Green Book

    Rami Malek
    Malek will probably win.  I don't think anyone else stands a chance.


    Best Actress
    Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
    Glenn Close, The Wife
    *Olivia Colman, The Favourite
    Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
    Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

    Glenn Close or Olivia Colman
    Close and Colman are the front runners.  They have won most of the Best Actress prizes this awards season.  Close's performance is the only nomination for The Wife.  She has received several prizes for the role.  Colman's movie has the most nominations.  It could go either way, but I give the edge to Close.


    Best Director
    Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
    Pawel Pawlikowski, Cold War
    Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite
    *Alfonso Cuaron, Roma
    Adam McKay, Vice

    Alfonso Cuaron
    Cuaron's direction is universally praised for this film.


    Best Animated Film
    Incredibles 2
    Isle of Dogs
    Mirai
    Ralph Breaks the Internet
    *Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

    Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
    I enjoyed Isle of Dogs, but I think Spider-Man will take the win.


    Best Picture
    A Star Is Born
    Black Panther
    BlacKkKlansman
    Bohemian Rhapsody
    The Favourite
    *Green Book
    Roma
    Vice

    Roma or Black Panther
    Most people are predicting a win for RomaBlack Panther was the most widely popular film on the list... so I think it could take the win.



    EDIT: 5 of 7, same as last year.

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