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    Oscar Picks 2026


    I have been predicting the Oscars since 2007. Last year I saw 2 of the nominated films and correctly predicted 2 of 7 categories (I don't predict them all). This year I saw 5 of the films.

    Zootopia 2

    Jurassic World: Rebirth is nominated for Best Visual Effects
    K-Pop Demon Hunters is nominated for Best Animated Film and Best Song (for "Golden")
    Sinners received a record 16 nominations

    Best Supporting Actor
    Benicio del Toro, One Battle After Another
    Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein
    Delroy Lindo, Sinners
    Sean Penn, One Battle After Another
    Stellan Skarsgard, Sentimental Value

    My pick: Delroy Lindo
    Lindo was great in Sinners and I would be happy to see him win.  However, it could go to Sean Penn, based on name recognition alone.


    Best Supporting Actress
    Elle Fanning, Sentimental Value
    Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Sentimental Value
    Amy Madigan, Weapons
    Wunmi Mosaku, Sinners
    Teyana Taylor, One Battle After Another

    My pick: Teyana Taylor
    Taylor was the early favorite in this category, but Amy Madigan has also gained steam for her role.  And Wunmi Mosaku won the BAFTA.  I still think Taylor will win.


    Best Actor
    Timothee Chalamet, Marty Supreme
    Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another
    Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon
    Michael B. Jordan, Sinners
    Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent

    My pick: Michael B. Jordan
    Jordan was great in Sinners, playing twins and giving each character a distinct personality and look.  The only possible upset is Timothee Chalamet, but I give the edge to Jordan.


    Best Actress
    Jessie Buckley, Hamnet
    Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
    Kate Hudson, Song Sung Blue
    Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value
    Emma Stone, Bugonia

    My pick: Jessie Buckley
    Buckley is the front runner and I fully expect her to win here.


    Best Director
    Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another
    Ryan Coogler, Sinners
    Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme
    Joachim Trier, Sentimental Value
    Chloe Zhao, Hamnet

    My pick: Paul Thomas Anderson
    Most of the Oscar predictions that I read expect the the Academy to give the win to Anderson, not necessarily because this is the best film of his career, but because he is "due" a win.  


    Best Animated Film
    Arco
    Elio
    Little Amelie or the Character of Rain
    Zootopia 2

    My pick: K-Pop Demon Hunters
    Zootopia 2 was good, but K-Pop Demon Hunters will win.  It's a well-made movie, a massive hit (with a sequel already ordered), and I can't see anyone else winning in this category.  I also expect the song "Golden" to win Best Song.


    Best Picture
    Bugonia
    F1
    Hamnet
    Marty Supreme
    One Battle After Another
    The Secret Agent
    Sentimental Value
    Train Dreams

    My pick: Sinners
    This film surprised me - I went in mostly blind and walked away a fan.  It is well acted (hence the 3 acting nominations), well-made, and the music is great.  Frankenstein will probably walk away with other awards based on it's distinctive style.  One Battle After Another is a big film with a flashy cast, but I think it will win in other categories (like Director).  I hate picking one film to clean-up all the awards, but if any can do it this year, it is Sinners.

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